Author Archives: pmontesdeoca

U.S. Dollar Rises, But A Decline Is On The Horizon!




The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note reached its highest level in more than 4 years at 3%.

It appears that the US dollar index is counting on an increase in interest rates. But, as the old saying counsels, buy the rumor and sell the fact.

I think the profit potential offered right now in gold is huge, specially for silver.

10-Year Note Inches Higher

The yield on the 10-year US Treasury note reached its highest level in more than 4 years at 3% shortly after the US opened sales last Tuesday. The majority of the focus has been on the 10-year yield in the recent sessions and it has inched its way to the psychological level which generates concerns that such a level could trigger a reaction in the global financial markets. The yield has been driven higher as strengthening inflation prospects have driven expectations of higher interest rates

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2008 All Over Again? 500% Silver Price Increase


As I look at the signals relating to the current economic climate, it’s beginning to indicate a similar pattern that is reminiscent of the Great Recession of 2008.

China is now trading oil futures on the Shanghai exchange; oil futures contracts that can be redeemed for gold. This marks a massive shift in the gold and US Dollar.

The profit potential of silver from where we are now, is offering the possibility to get in early on what could be a truly historic move.

Gold/Silver Ratio: 2008

As I look at the report that we published in Seeking Alpha on March 12, 2018, “Gold/Silver Ratio Signals Massive Rally,” I could not help but go back and look at the indicators that anticipated this latest $1.00 oz. silver rally. In the report, I touched on the gold/silver ratio reaching above of 80.50 sometime in 2008, when silver was trading at about $9.73/ounce as we were entering the Great Recession of 2008. The price of silver

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Is Gold In A Bull Trap?




On Friday, President Trump attacked Syria with the support of France and Britain, which some critics say violated various United Nations’ agreements.

We have a series of potential black swans that lead me to question the timing of the US administration’s policies now being implemented.

I believe there is going to be an explosive move in the price of metals that could surpass recent moves and challenge four-and five-year highs.

Fundamentals: Syria, Real War, and Trade Wars

As we analyze the fundamental chatter from last week, the rumors of going to war have overtaken the rumors of trade war. On Friday, President Trump decided to attack Syria with the support of France and Britain, which according to some critics violated various United Nations’ agreements. This was a one-time attack that appears to have been completed. The rumor . . .

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Petro-Yuan Challenges The Dollar: Good For Gold



China is continuing its long-running assault on the US dollar as the world’s global reserve currency.

The PetroDollar is backed by US Treasuries, which helps fuel US government deficit spending. Take that support away and the US dollar is in serious trouble. It looks like that.

Gold closing this coming week above $1337 is going to activate the price momentum into a bullish camp that is indicating targets at $1352 and $1367.

China is continuing its long-running assault on the US dollar as the world’s global reserve currency. The focus recently has been the world’s oil markets. China is the largest crude oil consumer, which gives it great influence over the oil markets. That influence was highlighted on March 26, 2018, when China launched trading of the Petro-Yuan to challenge the US Dollar and the PetroDollar. The South China Morning Post

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Humans are smart. We have sent men to the moon. We have harnessed nuclear power. We have created beautiful symphonies, paintings and art. We do have our limitations, however, the inability to fully understand and profit from the financial markets runs up against those limitations. Therefore, many traders and analysts have turned to mathematics and computers to attempt to model the markets and predict future price movements. Algorithmic trading systems use mathematical models to analyze financial markets to determine when to buy and sell, as well as to execute and manage orders once they have been placed. Such systems can be manually operated by human traders, partially automated by human traders and algorithms, or fully automated through the use of algorithms in a form of artificial intelligence.


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